System and method for predicating time-varying user dynamic equilibrium network-evolved passenger flow

The invention discloses a system and method for predicating time-varying user dynamic equilibrium network-evolved passenger flow and belongs to the technical field of urban rail traffic safety. The system comprises an AFC (auto fare collection) system, and a video terminal and the like. A network database is sequentially connected with a passenger flow distribution module, a passenger flow correction module and a passenger flow analysis module. The passenger flow video analysis module is connected with the network database module and the passenger flow correction module respectively. The video terminal and the AFC system transmit passenger information data and store the same in a network database. The passenger flow video analysis module analyzes real-time video data, and the passenger flow correction module adopts an AUKF (adaptive unscented Kalman filter) for preprocessing. The passenger flow data are matched and predicated by means of a passenger flow prediction algorithm, and services like an inquiry are provided by a human-computer interaction terminal. The requirements of multiple users for road network short-term prediction under emergency conditions are met, real-time distribution and dynamic prediction for the bounded rationality of the passenger flow are realized, and real-time inquiring, sharing and decision making of enterprises for passenger flow information are met.