The invention discloses a telephone traffic based 
electromagnetic radiation exact prediction method of a 
GSM base station. The telephone traffic based 
electromagnetic radiation exact prediction method of the 
GSM base station comprises the specific steps of firstly obtaining telephone traffic data and a total carrier number of the 
base station during a period of time through an operator, and performing weighted average calculation on the telephone traffic by regarding hour as a unit so as to obtain an average telephone traffic of each carrier frequency of the base 
station per hour; calculating the actual transmission power of each single carrier frequency in the presence of different telephone traffic based on the obtained average telephone traffic and the Erlang-B formula; and predicting the 
electromagnetic radiation intensity aroused by single carrier frequency of the base 
station by using the actual transmission power of the single carrier frequency of the base 
station. The telephone traffic based electromagnetic 
radiation exact prediction method of the 
GSM base station gives consideration to the influence from the change of the telephone traffic to the electromagnetic 
radiation intensity around the base station, can predict and estimate the electromagnetic 
radiation intensity exactly and simply, has an extremely great reference value for base station construction, 
environment effect assessment and environment protection and has certain 
social benefits.